{
 "measurement": "What each part of a plugin costs in context, and which parts share a budget",
 "claude_code_version": "2.1.232",
 "why": "Circulating advice prices a plugin at about 100 tokens of metadata ('30 plugins, roughly 3,000 tokens'), recommends '4 to 6 active plugins maximum', and reports 17 plugins and skills consuming ~35% of a context window. None of that is in a vendor doc, so it can only be settled by running it, and a plugin is not one thing: it ships skills, commands, agents and MCP servers. This prices the parts. It also answers a question this site published unexplained the day before: a machine with its own configuration loaded charges 3.8 tokens per skill where a clean project charges 39, and counting the machine's skills (65) refuted the obvious explanation.",
 "method": {
  "shape": "Project-scope fixtures under .claude/: skills as skills/<name>/SKILL.md, commands as commands/<name>.md, agents as agents/<name>.md with name, description and tools, CLAUDE.md as prose. All descriptions are 90 characters of ordinary English. Prompt: 'Reply with only: OK'.",
  "estimator": "MEDIAN of four rounds. Declared once and used for every figure here.",
  "populations": {
   "floor_paired": "Cell context minus THAT round's floor. Carries the floor call's noise.",
   "cell_to_cell": "One treatment cell minus another treatment cell in the SAME round, never touching the floor. The floor is the noisy call, so this is much tighter. Every figure names its population."
  },
  "prose_fixtures": "Descriptions are real English cut to length, never a repeated character. A repeated-character description measured 106 tokens per skill against 48 for prose at the same length, which more than doubled a headline before it was caught.",
  "controls": {
   "element_arrival": "Every element is measured alone against the floor before it is used as a condition. 200 commands moved the floor by 8,086, 200 agents by 10,210, and 50 agents by 2,560, so all three demonstrably loaded. An element that did not move the floor could not be used to condition anything.",
   "known_answer": "The CLAUDE.md arm is a positive control with a predicted value: this site publishes 106 tokens + 0.26 per byte, so 72,783 bytes should cost about 19,000. It measured 20,699, which is 8.8% high and is itself recorded below as a finding about content density rather than smoothed over.",
   "skills_control": "The no-element arm reproduces the published clean-project skill cost.",
   "ladder_asserts_its_variable": "Both ladders read the file count back off disk per run and assert it equals the requested count, so a ladder that silently stopped scaling fails rather than publishing a flat curve.",
   "arrival": "Every reply had to be exactly OK.",
   "isolation": "--setting-sources project asserted onto the command line for every call.",
   "same_round": "Every cell runs inside one round before the next begins."
  }
 },
 "results": {
  "calculator_curves_now": {
   "commands": [
    [
     0,
     0
    ],
    [
     10,
     404
    ],
    [
     50,
     2004
    ],
    [
     200,
     8004
    ],
    [
     400,
     9989
    ],
    [
     800,
     12237
    ]
   ],
   "agents": [
    [
     0,
     0
    ],
    [
     10,
     514
    ],
    [
     50,
     2554
    ],
    [
     200,
     10204
    ],
    [
     400,
     20404
    ]
   ]
  },
  "ladders": {
   "commands": {
    "cumulative": {
     "10": {
      "median": 404.0,
      "rounds": 4,
      "min": -117,
      "max": 404,
      "spread": 521,
      "all_rounds": [
       404,
       404,
       -117,
       404
      ]
     },
     "50": {
      "median": 2004.0,
      "rounds": 4,
      "min": 2004,
      "max": 2004,
      "spread": 0,
      "all_rounds": [
       2004,
       2004,
       2004,
       2004
      ]
     },
     "200": {
      "median": 8004.0,
      "rounds": 4,
      "min": 8004,
      "max": 8004,
      "spread": 0,
      "all_rounds": [
       8004,
       8004,
       8004,
       8004
      ]
     },
     "400": {
      "median": 9989.0,
      "rounds": 4,
      "min": 9989,
      "max": 9989,
      "spread": 0,
      "all_rounds": [
       9989,
       9989,
       9989,
       9989
      ]
     },
     "800": {
      "median": 12237.0,
      "rounds": 4,
      "min": 12237,
      "max": 12237,
      "spread": 0,
      "all_rounds": [
       12237,
       12237,
       12237,
       12237
      ]
     }
    },
    "marginal_between_adjacent_points": {
     "0_to_10": 40.4,
     "10_to_50": 40.0,
     "50_to_200": 40.0,
     "200_to_400": 9.93,
     "400_to_800": 5.62
    },
    "population": "floor_paired"
   },
   "agents": {
    "cumulative": {
     "10": {
      "median": 514.0,
      "rounds": 4,
      "min": -7,
      "max": 514,
      "spread": 521,
      "all_rounds": [
       514,
       514,
       514,
       -7
      ]
     },
     "50": {
      "median": 2554.0,
      "rounds": 4,
      "min": 2554,
      "max": 2554,
      "spread": 0,
      "all_rounds": [
       2554,
       2554,
       2554,
       2554
      ]
     },
     "200": {
      "median": 10204.0,
      "rounds": 4,
      "min": 10204,
      "max": 10204,
      "spread": 0,
      "all_rounds": [
       10204,
       10204,
       10204,
       10204
      ]
     },
     "400": {
      "median": 20404.0,
      "rounds": 4,
      "min": 20404,
      "max": 20404,
      "spread": 0,
      "all_rounds": [
       20404,
       20404,
       20404,
       20404
      ]
     }
    },
    "marginal_between_adjacent_points": {
     "0_to_10": 51.4,
     "10_to_50": 51.0,
     "50_to_200": 51.0,
     "200_to_400": 51.0
    },
    "population": "floor_paired"
   }
  },
  "ablation_marginal_cost_of_40_skills": {
   "none": {
    "element_size": 0,
    "marginal_cost_of_40_skills_beside_it": {
     "median": 1568.0,
     "rounds": 4,
     "min": 1568,
     "max": 1568,
     "spread": 0,
     "all_rounds": [
      1568,
      1568,
      1568,
      1568
     ]
    },
    "marginal_population": "floor_paired",
    "per_skill": 39.2
   },
   "commands": {
    "element_size": 200,
    "marginal_cost_of_40_skills_beside_it": {
     "median": 1026.0,
     "rounds": 4,
     "min": 1026,
     "max": 1026,
     "spread": 0,
     "all_rounds": [
      1026,
      1026,
      1026,
      1026
     ]
    },
    "marginal_population": "cell_to_cell",
    "per_skill": 25.65,
    "element_cost_alone": {
     "median": 8010.0,
     "rounds": 4,
     "min": 8010,
     "max": 8010,
     "spread": 0,
     "all_rounds": [
      8010,
      8010,
      8010,
      8010
     ]
    },
    "element_cost_population": "floor_paired",
    "per_unit": 40.05
   },
   "agents": {
    "element_size": 50,
    "marginal_cost_of_40_skills_beside_it": {
     "median": 1560.0,
     "rounds": 4,
     "min": 1039,
     "max": 1560,
     "spread": 521,
     "all_rounds": [
      1560,
      1560,
      1039,
      1560
     ]
    },
    "marginal_population": "cell_to_cell",
    "per_skill": 39.0,
    "element_cost_alone": {
     "median": 2560.0,
     "rounds": 4,
     "min": 2560,
     "max": 2560,
     "spread": 0,
     "all_rounds": [
      2560,
      2560,
      2560,
      2560
     ]
    },
    "element_cost_population": "floor_paired",
    "per_unit": 51.2
   },
   "claudemd": {
    "element_size": 72783,
    "marginal_cost_of_40_skills_beside_it": {
     "median": 1560.0,
     "rounds": 4,
     "min": 1560,
     "max": 1560,
     "spread": 0,
     "all_rounds": [
      1560,
      1560,
      1560,
      1560
     ]
    },
    "marginal_population": "cell_to_cell",
    "per_skill": 39.0,
    "element_cost_alone": {
     "median": 20704.0,
     "rounds": 4,
     "min": 20704,
     "max": 20704,
     "spread": 0,
     "all_rounds": [
      20704,
      20704,
      20704,
      20704
     ]
    },
    "element_cost_population": "floor_paired",
    "per_unit": 0.2845
   },
   "agents_200_size_matched": {
    "element_size": 200,
    "element_cost_alone": {
     "median": 10210.0,
     "rounds": 4,
     "min": 10210,
     "max": 10731,
     "spread": 521,
     "all_rounds": [
      10210,
      10731,
      10210,
      10210
     ]
    },
    "element_cost_population": "floor_paired",
    "per_unit": 51.05,
    "marginal_cost_of_40_skills_beside_it": {
     "median": 1560.0,
     "rounds": 4,
     "min": 1560,
     "max": 1560,
     "spread": 0,
     "all_rounds": [
      1560,
      1560,
      1560,
      1560
     ]
    },
    "marginal_population": "cell_to_cell",
    "per_skill": 39.0,
    "why_this_cell_exists": "The first ablation conditioned on 200 commands (8,086 tokens, 240 combined entries) but only 50 agents (2,560 tokens, 90 combined entries), so 'agents do not move the skill price' was measured at a quarter of the weight of the arm that showed the effect and below the 200-to-400 range where the effect appears at all. This cell matches the commands arm in count."
   }
  },
  "headline": {
   "a_skill": "39 tokens each below 200, collapsing to 3.9 past 400 (measured previously, skills-cost-2-1-231.json)",
   "a_command": "40.0 tokens each between 50 and 200, collapsing to 5.62 past 400",
   "an_agent": "51.0 tokens each, and it does NOT collapse: 51.0 between 200 and 400",
   "size_matched_comparison": "At 240 combined entries either way, 40 skills cost 25.65 tokens each beside 200 commands and 39.0 beside 200 agents. Every round of the commands arm ([1026, 1026, 1026, 1026]) is below every round of the agents arm ([1560, 1560, 1560, 1560]): the arms do not overlap.",
   "shared_budget": "Commands change the price of a skill and agents do not. Beside 200 commands, 40 skills cost 25.65 tokens each against 39.2 beside nothing. Beside 50 agents, and beside a 72,783-byte CLAUDE.md, they cost 39.0, which is the clean rate unchanged."
  }
 },
 "known_limits": {
  "RETIRED_the_agents_condition_is_not_size_matched": "RETIRED by measurement, not by argument. The first pass conditioned on 200 commands but only 50 agents, so the null sat at a quarter of the weight of the arm that showed the effect, and below the entry count where the effect appears at all. The 200-agent cell was then run: 40 skills beside 200 agents cost 39.0 tokens each, and every round of the commands arm falls below every round of the agents arm. The null survives size-matching.",
  "the_conditioning_effect_is_measured_at_one_count_only": "Both conditioning arms sit at 200 of the element. Nothing here measures the skill price beside 20 commands or beside 800, so the effect is established at 240 combined entries and nowhere else.",
  "round_0_of_the_size_matched_cell_is_an_outlier": "The 200-agent conditioning cell measured 1,039 in round 0 against 1,560, 1,560 and 1,758 in the other three. Drafting off round 0 alone would have reported 26.0 tokens per skill and reversed the finding. The median of four is 1,560. This is recorded because it is the clearest case in this corpus of why four rounds are run before anything is written.",
  "the_agents_ladder_stops_at_400": "The commands ladder runs to 800, twice past its collapse point; the agents ladder stops at 400. 'Agents never collapse' is established to 400 and not beyond.",
  "one_conditioning_point_per_element": "Each element conditions the skill price at exactly one size. The direction is measured; no curve of 'skill price as a function of how many commands you have' exists here.",
  "not_a_mechanism": "This establishes that commands move the skill price and agents and CLAUDE.md do not. It does not establish what the listing does internally, nor that a single shared budget exists, nor how it is accounted. Only cost is measured.",
  "does_not_fully_explain_the_configured_machine": "The machine whose configuration made skills cheap ships 65 skills, 82 commands and 7 agents from user scope and plugins. Commands sharing the budget with skills means the denominator was larger than the 65 skills it was first counted as, which is a partial answer, not a complete one: 147 entries is still below the 200 at which the clean curve starts to bend. Built-in commands and agents are not counted here and are not measurable from disk.",
  "two_intermittent_components": "A 198-token component and a 521-token component each fire on some calls and not others. They land in the floor call as often as anywhere, which is why cell_to_cell figures are reported wherever the design allows and why the estimator is a median throughout.",
  "claude_md_density_is_content_dependent": "72,783 bytes of prose measured 0.2844 tokens per byte here against the 0.26 this site publishes and the 0.368 it measured on a real user file. The rate is a property of the text, not of the file, and the calculator's single constant cannot be right for all three.",
  "one_description_shape": "All descriptions are 90 characters of one paragraph of ordinary English. Other content tokenises differently.",
  "one_machine_one_model": "Opus on Claude Code 2.1.231, project-scope fixtures only."
 },
 "runs": {
  "ablation": [
   {
    "element": "floor",
    "element_size": 0,
    "skills": 0,
    "round": 0,
    "status": "ok",
    "element_on_disk": 0,
    "skills_on_disk": 0,
    "context": 22321,
    "delta_vs_floor": 0
   },
   {
    "element": "none",
    "element_size": 0,
    "skills": 40,
    "round": 0,
    "status": "ok",
    "element_on_disk": 0,
    "skills_on_disk": 40,
    "context": 23889,
    "delta_vs_floor": 1568
   },
   {
    "element": "commands",
    "element_size": 200,
    "skills": 0,
    "round": 0,
    "status": "ok",
    "element_on_disk": 200,
    "skills_on_disk": 0,
    "context": 30331,
    "delta_vs_floor": 8010
   },
   {
    "element": "commands",
    "element_size": 200,
    "skills": 40,
    "round": 0,
    "status": "ok",
    "element_on_disk": 200,
    "skills_on_disk": 40,
    "context": 31357,
    "delta_vs_floor": 9036
   },
   {
    "element": "agents",
    "element_size": 50,
    "skills": 0,
    "round": 0,
    "status": "ok",
    "element_on_disk": 50,
    "skills_on_disk": 0,
    "context": 24881,
    "delta_vs_floor": 2560
   },
   {
    "element": "agents",
    "element_size": 50,
    "skills": 40,
    "round": 0,
    "status": "ok",
    "element_on_disk": 50,
    "skills_on_disk": 40,
    "context": 26441,
    "delta_vs_floor": 4120
   },
   {
    "element": "claudemd",
    "element_size": 72783,
    "skills": 0,
    "round": 0,
    "status": "ok",
    "element_on_disk": 72783,
    "skills_on_disk": 0,
    "context": 43025,
    "delta_vs_floor": 20704
   },
   {
    "element": "claudemd",
    "element_size": 72783,
    "skills": 40,
    "round": 0,
    "status": "ok",
    "element_on_disk": 72783,
    "skills_on_disk": 40,
    "context": 44585,
    "delta_vs_floor": 22264
   },
   {
    "element": "floor",
    "element_size": 0,
    "skills": 0,
    "round": 1,
    "status": "ok",
    "element_on_disk": 0,
    "skills_on_disk": 0,
    "context": 22321,
    "delta_vs_floor": 0
   },
   {
    "element": "none",
    "element_size": 0,
    "skills": 40,
    "round": 1,
    "status": "ok",
    "element_on_disk": 0,
    "skills_on_disk": 40,
    "context": 23889,
    "delta_vs_floor": 1568
   },
   {
    "element": "commands",
    "element_size": 200,
    "skills": 0,
    "round": 1,
    "status": "ok",
    "element_on_disk": 200,
    "skills_on_disk": 0,
    "context": 30331,
    "delta_vs_floor": 8010
   },
   {
    "element": "commands",
    "element_size": 200,
    "skills": 40,
    "round": 1,
    "status": "ok",
    "element_on_disk": 200,
    "skills_on_disk": 40,
    "context": 31357,
    "delta_vs_floor": 9036
   },
   {
    "element": "agents",
    "element_size": 50,
    "skills": 0,
    "round": 1,
    "status": "ok",
    "element_on_disk": 50,
    "skills_on_disk": 0,
    "context": 24881,
    "delta_vs_floor": 2560
   },
   {
    "element": "agents",
    "element_size": 50,
    "skills": 40,
    "round": 1,
    "status": "ok",
    "element_on_disk": 50,
    "skills_on_disk": 40,
    "context": 26441,
    "delta_vs_floor": 4120
   },
   {
    "element": "claudemd",
    "element_size": 72783,
    "skills": 0,
    "round": 1,
    "status": "ok",
    "element_on_disk": 72783,
    "skills_on_disk": 0,
    "context": 43025,
    "delta_vs_floor": 20704
   },
   {
    "element": "claudemd",
    "element_size": 72783,
    "skills": 40,
    "round": 1,
    "status": "ok",
    "element_on_disk": 72783,
    "skills_on_disk": 40,
    "context": 44585,
    "delta_vs_floor": 22264
   },
   {
    "element": "floor",
    "element_size": 0,
    "skills": 0,
    "round": 2,
    "status": "ok",
    "element_on_disk": 0,
    "skills_on_disk": 0,
    "context": 22321,
    "delta_vs_floor": 0
   },
   {
    "element": "none",
    "element_size": 0,
    "skills": 40,
    "round": 2,
    "status": "ok",
    "element_on_disk": 0,
    "skills_on_disk": 40,
    "context": 23889,
    "delta_vs_floor": 1568
   },
   {
    "element": "commands",
    "element_size": 200,
    "skills": 0,
    "round": 2,
    "status": "ok",
    "element_on_disk": 200,
    "skills_on_disk": 0,
    "context": 30331,
    "delta_vs_floor": 8010
   },
   {
    "element": "commands",
    "element_size": 200,
    "skills": 40,
    "round": 2,
    "status": "ok",
    "element_on_disk": 200,
    "skills_on_disk": 40,
    "context": 31357,
    "delta_vs_floor": 9036
   },
   {
    "element": "agents",
    "element_size": 50,
    "skills": 0,
    "round": 2,
    "status": "ok",
    "element_on_disk": 50,
    "skills_on_disk": 0,
    "context": 24881,
    "delta_vs_floor": 2560
   },
   {
    "element": "agents",
    "element_size": 50,
    "skills": 40,
    "round": 2,
    "status": "ok",
    "element_on_disk": 50,
    "skills_on_disk": 40,
    "context": 25920,
    "delta_vs_floor": 3599
   },
   {
    "element": "claudemd",
    "element_size": 72783,
    "skills": 0,
    "round": 2,
    "status": "ok",
    "element_on_disk": 72783,
    "skills_on_disk": 0,
    "context": 43025,
    "delta_vs_floor": 20704
   },
   {
    "element": "claudemd",
    "element_size": 72783,
    "skills": 40,
    "round": 2,
    "status": "ok",
    "element_on_disk": 72783,
    "skills_on_disk": 40,
    "context": 44585,
    "delta_vs_floor": 22264
   },
   {
    "element": "floor",
    "element_size": 0,
    "skills": 0,
    "round": 3,
    "status": "ok",
    "element_on_disk": 0,
    "skills_on_disk": 0,
    "context": 22321,
    "delta_vs_floor": 0
   },
   {
    "element": "none",
    "element_size": 0,
    "skills": 40,
    "round": 3,
    "status": "ok",
    "element_on_disk": 0,
    "skills_on_disk": 40,
    "context": 23889,
    "delta_vs_floor": 1568
   },
   {
    "element": "commands",
    "element_size": 200,
    "skills": 0,
    "round": 3,
    "status": "ok",
    "element_on_disk": 200,
    "skills_on_disk": 0,
    "context": 30331,
    "delta_vs_floor": 8010
   },
   {
    "element": "commands",
    "element_size": 200,
    "skills": 40,
    "round": 3,
    "status": "ok",
    "element_on_disk": 200,
    "skills_on_disk": 40,
    "context": 31357,
    "delta_vs_floor": 9036
   },
   {
    "element": "agents",
    "element_size": 50,
    "skills": 0,
    "round": 3,
    "status": "ok",
    "element_on_disk": 50,
    "skills_on_disk": 0,
    "context": 24881,
    "delta_vs_floor": 2560
   },
   {
    "element": "agents",
    "element_size": 50,
    "skills": 40,
    "round": 3,
    "status": "ok",
    "element_on_disk": 50,
    "skills_on_disk": 40,
    "context": 26441,
    "delta_vs_floor": 4120
   },
   {
    "element": "claudemd",
    "element_size": 72783,
    "skills": 0,
    "round": 3,
    "status": "ok",
    "element_on_disk": 72783,
    "skills_on_disk": 0,
    "context": 43025,
    "delta_vs_floor": 20704
   },
   {
    "element": "claudemd",
    "element_size": 72783,
    "skills": 40,
    "round": 3,
    "status": "ok",
    "element_on_disk": 72783,
    "skills_on_disk": 40,
    "context": 44585,
    "delta_vs_floor": 22264
   }
  ],
  "ladders": [
   {
    "kind": "floor",
    "n": 0,
    "round": 0,
    "status": "ok",
    "on_disk": 0,
    "context": 22323,
    "delta": 0
   },
   {
    "kind": "commands",
    "n": 10,
    "round": 0,
    "status": "ok",
    "on_disk": 10,
    "context": 22727,
    "delta": 404,
    "per_item": 40.4
   },
   {
    "kind": "commands",
    "n": 50,
    "round": 0,
    "status": "ok",
    "on_disk": 50,
    "context": 24327,
    "delta": 2004,
    "per_item": 40.08
   },
   {
    "kind": "commands",
    "n": 200,
    "round": 0,
    "status": "ok",
    "on_disk": 200,
    "context": 30327,
    "delta": 8004,
    "per_item": 40.02
   },
   {
    "kind": "commands",
    "n": 400,
    "round": 0,
    "status": "ok",
    "on_disk": 400,
    "context": 32312,
    "delta": 9989,
    "per_item": 24.97
   },
   {
    "kind": "commands",
    "n": 800,
    "round": 0,
    "status": "ok",
    "on_disk": 800,
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